|
The Most Incredible Bull Market Ever
The bulls called it a "new era in investing",
the bears called it the biggest bubble in history. There is no question
that the bull run the NASDAQ enjoyed in the 1990ies was one of the greatest
- if not the greatest - bull market ever. One has to look back at the
golden 20ies or at the gold rush to find comparably fantastic performance
for investment vehicles in financial history.
The bull market in the NASDAQ exceeded all previous stock booms in a number
of categories:
First,
public participation was broader based than in any previous bull market,
exceeding even the levels of the late 1960ies.
Second,
valuation levels at the height of the speculation broke all previous records
by a milestone. As a matter of fact, and, incredibly, the bullish comments
between 1997 and 2000 often rationalized the valuation levels because
the companies showed no earnings at all and hence - so the logic - could
not be valued in a traditional way. At its peak the NASDAQ Composite Index
traded at an average price earnings ratio of well over 100, with dividend
yields being non-existent and book values miniscule.
Third,
the length of the bull run was unprecedented in financial history, exceeding
the wildest and most optimistic expectations. The bull market in
technology stocks lasted for exactly 10 years, with the blow-off phase
lasting an astonishing 3 years.
Finally,
the gains seen in the NASDAQ and in individual stocks were un-paralleled.
Percentage gains reached not hundreds but thousands or tens of thousands
of percent. One of the high-flyers, Dell Computer actually rose but over
50,000 percent from 1990 to 2000.
As spectacular as the meteoric rise of technology stocks was their decline.
The unwinding of the froth caused many of the celebrated highfliers to
collapse, sometimes in spectacular fashion or even resulting in bankruptcy.
|
|
|
|
|